Will the Arizona Diamondbacks make the MLB playoffs? Quotas, schedule analysis

(This story was updated after Thursday’s MLB games.)

The Arizona Diamondbacks reached the 2023 playoffs as the final seed in the National League and had a memorable run leading up to their appearance in the World Series.

But a 5-5 record in its last 10 games beginning Friday has threatened the defending National League champion’s chances of defending the NL pennant in the 2024 MLB postseason.

Forget a potential World Series run, the Diamondbacks are now just fighting to reach the 2024 MLB Playoffs as a wild card team.

Will the DBacks secure a spot in the 2024 MLB postseason as a wild card team? Take a look at the standings, odds and schedule.

MLB playoff image: Magic numbers for Diamondbacks, other 2024 MLB postseason contenders

MLB Playoff Rankings: Where the teams stand in divisions, wild card races for the 2024 postseason

Arizona Diamondbacks in the 2024 MLB playoff standings

Six teams will advance to the 2024 National League playoffs: the three division champions and the three non-division champions with the best record in the league.

The Diamondbacks are in the sixth and final playoff spot, the third wild card spot, just one game ahead of the Atlanta Braves.

This is what the NL wildcard race currently looks like:

2024 MLB playoff tiebreakers: Tie-breaking scenarios for the National League and American League playoffs

2024 MLB Playoffs Odds: AL, NL and World Series odds for teams still in postseason contention

Arizona Diamondbacks 2024 MLB Playoffs odds

According to DraftKings Sportsbook, the Diamondbacks have a -330 chance of being in the postseason and a +250 chance of not being there.

The Mets, tied with Arizona but having played two fewer games, are -230 to make the postseason and +185 to miss it.

The Braves, the team Arizona currently has to beat for the final playoff spot, are now -175 to make the postseason. It’s +145 to avoid securing a spot in the playoffs. The Braves have also played two fewer games than the DBacks.

FanGraphs has percentages of every MLB team’s chances of reaching the 2024 postseason and estimates the Diamondbacks to clinch a wild-card spot at 60.7%, behind the Mets, who are at 78%, and also behind Braves, which is 61.3%. .

Arizona only needs to beat one of these teams to make the postseason.

Arizona Diamondbacks schedule compared to other NL wild card contenders

According to the site, Tankathon has one remaining strength of schedule tracker for MLB teams and the Diamondbacks unfortunately have the fifth most difficult remaining schedule.

Arizona closes the season with three games against the Padres.

But the DBacks do have something in their favor: The Mets have the seventh-toughest remaining schedule, according to the website, with three games against the Milwaukee Brewers and two games against the Braves (New Yok and Atlanta are scheduled to play a doubleheader). on Monday after weather problems).

The Braves have the 11th most difficult schedule ahead of them, with three against the Kansas City Royals and two against the Mets.

So Arizona will definitely get some help in the playoffs when the Mets and Braves face off. Atlanta beat New York in the first game of its series on Tuesday and moved closer to Arizona before Wednesday’s postponement.

Of course, if the Diamondbacks were just looking forward to their final series against the Padres, there would be no doubt whether they would make it to the 2024 MLB Playoffs.

When do the 2024 MLB playoffs start? Baseball postseason schedule, format, tiebreakers, TV

Reach Jeremy Cluff at [email protected]. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.

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Will the Arizona Diamondbacks make the MLB playoffs? Quotas, schedule analysis

ByJasper

Arizona Diamondbacks in the 2024 MLB playoff standings

Arizona Diamondbacks 2024 MLB Playoffs odds

Arizona Diamondbacks schedule compared to other NL wild card contenders

By Jasper

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