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News Update

Tropical Storm Nadine could form off Florida

ByJasper

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Tropical Storm Nadine could form off Florida

Further details, current watches and warnings, spaghetti models and expected impacts for Hurricane Milton can be found here. In a hurry? Here’s what you need to know in a minute.

According to the latest update from the National Hurricane Center, Hurricane Milton is expected to make landfall Wednesday evening or early Thursday morning, causing catastrophic damage across Florida.

Elsewhere in the tropics, the National Hurricane Center is also tracking three other systems in the Atlantic basin, including a system off the east coast of Florida that could develop into a short-lived tropical or subtropical storm today or tonight

➤ Spaghetti Models for Hurricane Milton

➤ Weather warnings via SMS: Sign up to receive updates on current storms and weather events by location

AccuWeather forecasts Milton will make landfall within a dozen miles of the islands at the mouth of Tampa Bay on Florida’s west coast.

Elsewhere in the Atlantic basin there are:

  • Hurricane Leslie
  • Non-tropical low pressure system east of Florida
  • A tropical wave is expected to move off the coast of Africa

Most of Florida is in a state of emergency

Governor Ron DeSantis declared a state of emergency for 51 Florida counties ahead of Hurricane Milton: Alachua, Baker, Bradford, Brevard, Broward, Charlotte, Citrus, Clay, Collier, Columbia, DeSoto, Dixie, Duval, Flagler, Gilchrist, Glades, Hamilton, Hardee, Hendry, Hernando, Highlands, Hillsborough, Indian River, Lafayette, Lake, Lee, Levy, Madison, Manatee, Marion, Martin, Miami-Dade, Monroe, Nassau, Okeechobee, Orange, Osceola, Palm Beach, Pasco, Pinellas, Polk, Putnam, Sarasota, Seminole, St. Johns, St. Lucie, Sumter, Suwanee, Taylor, Union and Volusia.

Hurricane Milton: What you need to know

In a hurry? Here’s everything you need to know about Hurricane Milton in under a minute. Would you like more details?

➤ WeatherTiger: Worst case scenario with catastrophic storm surge beyond Helene

Hurricane Milton Spaghetti Models. Where will the storm hit Florida?

Special note on spaghetti models: The illustrations span a range of forecasting tools and models, and not all are created equal. The Hurricane Center uses only the four or five best-performing models to create its forecasts.

➤ Spaghetti Models for Hurricane Milton

Where could Hurricane Milton make landfall in Florida?

The National Hurricane Center issued the following warning regarding where Milton will make landfall: “Do not focus on the exact landfall point, as the average error after 24 hours is about 40 miles.” However, several meteorologists predict that Hurricane Milton will make landfall here:

Don’t relax if you live on the east coast of Florida. Milton is still expected to be a hurricane after crossing the state and moving into the Atlantic Ocean.

Watches and warnings are issued for Florida, USA

Hurricane Leslie: What you should know

➤ Spaghetti Models for Hurricane Leslie

No impacts from Hurricane Leslie are expected.

What else is there and how likely are they to intensify?

Invest 93L in the Southwest Atlantic: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a hurricane-like, non-tropical pressure system located about 375 miles west-southwest of Bermuda have become less organized in recent hours.

Although environmental conditions are becoming increasingly unfavorable for development, a short-lived tropical or subtropical storm could still form today or tonight as the low moves northeast to east-northeast at about 15 mph (24 km/h). Winds are forecast to become too strong in higher elevations to develop further later tonight.

The next name of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season will be Nadine.

  • Chance of education within 48 hours: medium, 40 percent.
  • Chance of education over 7 days: medium, 40 percent.

Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa tonight or early Thursday.

Thereafter, environmental conditions appear to be marginally favorable for limited development of this system as it moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic and through the Cabo Verde Islands on Friday.

  • Chance of creation within 48 hours: low, 10 percent.
  • Training opportunity over 7 days: low, 10 percent.

National Hurricane Center Map: What Are Meteorologists Watching Now?

Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include:

What do the colored areas on the NHC map mean?

The shaded areas on a tropical outlook map indicate “areas where a tropical cyclone – which could be a tropical depression, a tropical storm or a hurricane – could develop,” said National Hurricane Deputy Director Jamie Rhome Center.

The colors make it clear how likely a system could develop, with yellow being low, orange being medium and red being high.

The National Hurricane Center generally does not issue tropical warnings until there is a named storm, but there is one exception.

“If a system is near land and has potential for development, the National Hurricane Center will not wait to issue warnings, even if the system has not yet become a true storm. This gives residents time to prepare,” Rhome said.

Excessive rainfall forecast

Interactive map: Hurricanes and tropical storms that passed near your city

When is hurricane season over?

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st to November 30th.

The Atlantic Basin includes the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico.

When is the peak of hurricane season?

The peak of the season was September 10, with most activity occurring between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.

What’s next?

We will continue to update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local website’s app to ensure you’re always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here.

By Jasper

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