Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction, September 27, 2024 MLB tips, best bets and odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, September 27, 2024

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: Bally Sports Sun

The Tampa Bay Rays (78-80) travel to Fenway Park on Friday where they will face the Boston Red Sox (80-79). The starting pitchers will be Taj Bradley and Nick Pivetta.

Tampa Bay has a .368 slugging percentage and has been called for strikes 1,454 times while walking 485 times. They have 552 RBIs and 1,211 base knocks for the season while their team batting average is .230. The Rays fielded 243 two-baggers as a squad and hit 146 balls out of the ballpark. They have a total of 591 runs scored and a team on-base percentage of .303. As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays allow 3.7 runs per game, ranking 29th in the league.

Get all our free MLB picks

They have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.12 and the pitching staff has posted a collective WHIP of 1.21. Rays pitchers have allowed 195 home runs and 653 total runs (11th in baseball). Tampa Bay has allowed 1,260 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 595 earned runs. The Rays have a 3.81 earned run average (10th in baseball) so far this year and their team has struck out 1,368 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 438 batters and their FIP as a team is 4.09 this year.

The Rays have put 531 relief pitchers on the mound this year. Bullpen pitchers took on 183 base runners during the campaign and 23.5% of them scored a run for their team. They amassed 50 saves on the year and failed to convert on 21 of their 71 save opportunities. The Rays bullpen has a save rate of 70.4% and has appeared in 181 save situations. Relievers have 108 holds this year (3rd in baseball). Rays pitchers faced runners 125 times and also had 200 appearances in high-leverage situations.

The Tampa Bay Rays have amassed 4,220 putouts along with 1,232 assists and 87 errors at this point in the season. Their fielding percentage is .984, which is 20th in baseball, and they have a total of 105 double plays. The Rays have converted 70.7% of baseballs thrown into outs in their 12,660 innings on the field, ranking sixth in the majors.

Bradley has been on the mound for 237 frames and has 276 strikeouts in his MLB career. Bradley (12-19 career win-loss record) has a 4.79 FIP while facing 1,016 opposing batters in the Major Leagues. His ERA is 4.86 (128 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.309. He has given up 225 base knocks (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 85 free passes.

The Boston Red Sox have a .320 on-base percentage and a .253 team batting average on the season. They were called for strikeouts 1,542 times (3rd in baseball) and totaled 1,386 base hits. Boston has amassed 193 long balls for the season, resulting in 719 runs batted in. The Red Sox have a team slugging percentage of .425 and allow 4.69 runs per contest (9th in the league). They recorded 307 two-baggers, made 488 walks and scored 745 runs.

Boston’s pitching staff has allowed 737 runs this year and has a team ERA of 4.05 (642 earned runs). They have conceded 188 things and given up 4.65 runs per 9 innings (22nd in the league). The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.258 and own a FIP of 4.12 as a pitching staff for the year. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.40 (1,331 strikeouts vs. 453 free passes). With a total of 1,340 hits given up, they rank 24th in the league as a pitching team.

With 158 saves, the Red Sox earned 84 holds and 31 failed saves. Boston had backup players take the mound on 70 save opportunities, and they came away with 39 saves. Their relievers were used 190 times in high-leverage situations, in addition to 161 times with runners on base. Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited scoring percentage of 34.1% out of 223 inherited runners. They currently rank 28th in the MLB with a save rate of 55.7% and have sent 523 relievers to the mound this year.

The Boston Red Sox made 115 double plays and posted a .981 fielding percentage (29th in MLB). The Red Sox have accumulated 1,420 assists, 112 errors and 4,277 total putouts this season. In their 12,831 innings on the field, the Red Sox had a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (21st in professional baseball).

In his MLB career, Pivetta has given up 974 hits and has 1,133 K’s in 1,022 innings pitched. Pivetta (56-70 career win-loss record) has a 4.77 ERA and allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He gave up 542 earned runs while having a WHIP of 1.321 and a FIP of 4.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.01 and has faced 4,362 batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink’s pick: Take Tampa Bay

Get $60 worth of FREE Premium Member Tips. No obligation. No seller. No credit card. Quick sign up with instant access. Click here