St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants prediction, September 28, 2024 MLB tips, best bets and odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants

Date: Saturday, September 28, 2024

Location: Oracle Park in San Francisco, California

TV: NBC Bay Area

The St. Louis Cardinals (81-77) travel to Oracle Park on Saturday to face the San Francisco Giants (79-80). The projected starting pitchers are Andre Pallante and Blake Snell.

St. Louis has a .388 slugging percentage and has been called 1,281 times while being walked 460 times. They have 614 RBIs and 1,316 hits on the season while their batting average is .246. The Cardinals tallied 245 two-baggers as a team and threw 159 baseballs out of the stadium. They have scored 647 runs and hold a .310 on-base percentage. As a unit, the St. Louis Cardinals score 4.1 runs per game, which ranks them 24th in the league.

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The Cardinals have a 4.02 ERA this season (16th in the league) and their team has faced 1,279 batters. Cardinals pitchers have hit 172 home runs and scored 699 total runs (18th in baseball). They released 445 players from the other team and their overall FIP is 3.97 per year. St. Louis has given up 1,322 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 630 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.87 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Cardinals’ bullpen pitchers have taken runners to the mound 157 times and also had 180 appearances in high-leverage situations. The bullpen has posted 99 holds this year (5th in the league). The Cardinals bullpen posted a 66.7% save rate and took the mound in 180 save situations. They have made 54 saves this season and missed 27 of their 81 save opportunities. Relief pitchers have carried 216 runners this year, with 37.0% of those players crossing the plate. The Cardinals have sent 496 helpers to the mound this year.

The Cardinals have converted 69.8% of balls in play into outs in their 12,690 innings, ranking them 16th in baseball. The St. Louis Cardinals have amassed 4,230 putouts on the season, as well as 1,486 assists and 71 errors. Their fielding percentage is .988, which ranks them 4th in the MLB, and they have made 149 double plays.

Pallante has taken the mound in 292 innings and has 206 strikeouts in his career so far. His ERA is 3.76 (122 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.404. He has allowed 292 base hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 118 free passes. Pallante (career record of 18-14) has a 3.70 FIP and has faced 1,247 opposing batters in the Major Leagues.

The San Francisco Giants have a team on-base percentage of .305 and a batting average of .238 for the year. They have been picked off 1,431 times (8th in MLB) and have totaled 1,276 base hits. San Francisco has 176 home runs and 653 RBIs this season. The Giants have a .396 SLG% and are scoring 4.30 runs per game (17th in the league). They have 259 two-baggers while getting a free base 487 times and scoring 683 runs.

The Giants have a team WHIP of 1.291 and own a FIP of 3.79 as a team for the year. They rank 21st in the league as a pitching team with 1,306 hits allowed. San Francisco’s pitching staff has given up 682 runs this season while maintaining a 4.07 ERA (636 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.00 (1,408 strikeouts versus 510 free passes). They have conceded 151 things and given up 4.36 runs per 9 innings (15th in baseball).

With 153 saves, the Giants have recorded 98 holds and 18 failed saves. San Francisco had replacements take the mound on 53 save opportunities, and they walked away with 35 saves. Their relief pitchers were used 151 times in high-leverage situations, in addition to 129 times with base runners. San Francisco relief pitchers have an inherited scoring percentage of 34.6% out of 188 inherited base runners. They rank 10th in the league with a save rate of 66.0% and have sent 551 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

The San Francisco Giants made 134 double plays and posted a .985 fielding percentage (14th in professional baseball). The Giants have amassed 1,530 assists, 86 errors and 4,220 putouts this season. In their 12,660 innings on the field, the Giants have a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (25th in professional baseball).

Over the course of his career, Snell has allowed 840 base knocks and has 1,368 punch outs in 1,096 innings. He has given up 389 ERs while maintaining a WHIP of 1.218 and a FIP of 3.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.76 and has faced 4,537 opposing batters in his MLB career. Snell (career mark 76-58) has a 3.19 ERA and allowed 6.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink’s pick: Take St. Louis

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