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Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks – September 29th

Data script

Aaron Nola and Jake Irvin will start for their respective teams when the Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals meet at Nationals Park on Sunday at 3:05 p.m. ET. The Nationals were listed as moneyline underdogs at +154 (-184) for this matchup against the favored Phillies. Philadelphia is the run line favorite (-1.5). The total is 7.5 runs for the game (with odds of -122 for the over and odds of +100 for the under).

Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Nationals game, including run line, moneyline and total, as well as expert tips.

Phillies vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Phillies vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Natoinals.

Information and odds for the Phillies vs. Nationals game

  • When: Sunday, September 29, 2024, 3:05 p.m. ET
  • Where: Nationals Park in Washington DC
  • How to watch on TV: MASN
favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline In total Above-overall odds Below overall odds running line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -184 +154 7.5 -122 +100 -1.5 -110 -110

Phillies vs. Nationals prediction

  • Result prediction: Phillies 5, Nationals 4
  • Overall prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Probabilities of winning: Phillies 52%, Nationals 48%

Phillies vs. Nationals betting insights

  • The Phillies have been the favorite in 127 games this season and won 79 (62.2%) of those games.
  • Philadelphia has played 48 games with a margin of -184 or greater this season and is 34-14 in those contests.
  • Based on the money line implied probability, the Phillies have a 64.8% chance of winning this game.
  • The Nationals have won in 54, or 41.2%, of the 131 contests they have been classified as underdogs this year.
  • Washington has a win-loss record of 16-22 when favored by sportsbooks at +154 or worse this year.
  • The money line set for this matchup suggests the Nationals have a 39.4% chance of winning.

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

Washington Nationals

WSH

Current Phillies betting performance

  • The Phillies have a 4-3 record in the seven games in which they have been favored on the money line in the last ten meetings.
  • In their last 10 meetings, the Phillies and their opponents have combined to hit the over in the run a total of six times (all 10 games had set point totals).
  • The Phillies’ ATS record is 4-6-0 in their last 10 games.

Current Phillies stats

Stat Average/Total
Record 4-6
Runs per game 4.8
Human Resources 16
EPOCH 5.08
K/9 9.1

Insights into Phillies players

  • Bryce Harper leads the Phillies in OBP, slugging and hits, reaching base at a .374 rate while slugging .527 and recording 156 hits.
  • Among all batters in baseball, Harper ranks 20th in home runs and 29th in RBI.
  • Kyle Schwarber’s 38 home runs and 102 RBI propel his team forward.
  • Schwarber is sixth in home runs and 12th in RBI among all batters in the MLB.
  • Alec Bohm is batting .282 with 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks.
  • Nicholas Castellanos is batting .254 with 30 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 40 walks.
  • Castellanos brings an eight-game streak with at least one goal in this game. In his last 10 appearances, he hit .429 with three doubles, three home runs, two walks and six RBI.

Find out more about this Phillies-Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Current Nationals betting performance

  • The Nationals played as underdogs in 10 of their last 10 games, going 2-8 in those contests.
  • In total, the Nationals and their opponents have bowled overs a combined five times in the last 10 games.
  • The Nationals are 4-6-0 ATS in their last 10 games.

Current Nationals stats

Stat Average/Total
Record 2-8
Runs per game 2.6
Human Resources 5
EPOCH 4.92
K/9 8.0

National Championship Player Insights

  • Luis Garcia leads the Nationals with 17 home runs and 68 runs batted in and has the team’s best batting average at .281.
  • Garcia is 108th in home runs and 80th in RBI among all batters in the MLB.
  • Keibert Ruiz is batting .226 with 21 doubles, 13 home runs and 16 walks.
  • Ruiz is currently 153rd in home runs and 128th in RBI in the Major Leagues.
  • Jacob Young is batting .258 with 24 doubles, one triple, three home runs and 28 walks.
  • James Wood is batting .266 with 13 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 39 walks.

Phillies vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Phillies vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Natoinals.

FOX Sports created this story using technology and data from Sportradar provided by Data Skrive.

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Washington Nationals

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By Jasper

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