Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks – September 28th

Data script

Nicholas Castellanos and Luis Garcia will look to continue their recent offensive performance when the Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals take the field at Nationals Park on Saturday at 4:05 p.m. ET. The Nationals are listed as moneyline underdogs at +179 (-215) for this matchup against the Phillies. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 at odds of -125). The over/under for this match is 7.5 runs (with odds of -110 for an over and odds of -111 for an under).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Nationals game, including run line, moneyline and total, as well as expert tips.

Cubs vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this match between the Chicago Cubs and the Philadelphia Phillies.

Information and odds for the Phillies vs. Nationals game

• When: Saturday, September 28, 2024, 4:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington DC
• How to watch on TV: MASN

Phillies vs. Nationals prediction

• Result prediction: Phillies 5, Nationals 4
• Overall prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Probabilities of winning: Phillies 52%, Nationals 48%

Phillies vs. Nationals betting insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 79 of the 126 games, or 62.7%, in which they were favorites.
• Philadelphia has played 24 games with a margin of -215 or greater this season and is 19-5 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a Phillies win based on the money line is 68.3%.
• The Nationals have been picked as underdogs in 130 games this year and have emerged victorious 53 times (40.8%) in those games.
• Washington has a win-loss record of 8-10 this year when favored by oddsmakers at +179 or worse.
• The money line set for this matchup implies that the Nationals have a 35.8% chance of coming out of the contest with a win.

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-217

O 7.5

Washington Nationals

WSH

+1.5

+180

U 7.5

Current Phillies betting performance

• The Phillies have played as moneyline favorites in seven of their last 10 games, going 4-3 in those matchups.
• In the last 10 meetings, the Phillies and their opponents have combined to exceed the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Phillies have a record of 4-6-0 in their last 10 games.

Current Phillies stats

Insights into Phillies players

• Bryce Harper leads the Phillies in OBP, slugging and hits and reaches base at a .373 rate while giving up .528 slugs and recording 156 base hits.
• Harper ranks 20th in home runs and 28th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Harper is on a three-game scoring streak in this matchup. In his last five appearances, he hit .263 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber hit 38 home runs and batted in 102 runs. Both are team highs.
• Schwarber ranks sixth in the majors in home runs and 11th in RBI.
• Schwarber has three straight games with at least one goal. In his last five games, he posted a .238 batting average with a double, three home runs, a walk and four RBI.
• Alec Bohm has 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks while batting .284.
• Castellanos hit .253 with 30 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 40 walks.
• Castellanos is on a seven-game streak coming into this game. In his last 10 games, he hit .405 with three doubles, three home runs, two walks and six RBI.

Find out more about this Phillies-Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Current Nationals betting performance

• In 10 games as underdogs in the last 10 meetings, the Nationals have a record of 1-9.
• In the last 10 games, the Nationals and their opponents have not achieved the majority a total of six times.
• The Nationals have a record of 4-6-0 ATS in their last 10 games.

Current Nationals stats

National Championship Player Insights

• Garcia leads the Nationals with 17 home runs and 68 runs batted in and has a team-wide .278 batting average.
• Garcia ranks 108th in home runs and 77th in RBI among all hitters in the major leagues.
• Keibert Ruiz is hitting .224 with 21 doubles, 13 home runs and 16 walks.
• Ruiz ranks 152nd among all hitters in the major leagues in home runs and 147th in RBI.
• Jacob Young hit .253 with 24 doubles, one triple, three home runs and 28 walks.
• James Wood has 13 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 39 walks while batting .267.

Cubs vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this match between the Chicago Cubs and the Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology and data from Sportradar provided by Data Skrive.

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Washington Nationals

Philadelphia Phillies