Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals prediction, September 29, 2024 MLB tips, best bets and odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, DC

TV: MASN

The Washington Nationals (69-90) will try to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (94-65) at Nationals Park on Sunday. The starting pitchers are Aaron Nola and Jake Irvin.

As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies score 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th in baseball. They scored a total of 774 runs and had an OBP of .326. As a team, the Phillies have hit 284 doubles and hit 196 balls out of the ballpark. They have scored 740 runs and scored 1,405 hits so far this year while their batting average is .258. Philadelphia has a .427 slugging percentage and has struck out 1,344 times while walking 507 times.

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They have posted a K/BB ratio of 3.21 and the pitching staff has posted a combined WHIP of 1.23. Phillies pitchers have given up a total of 177 long balls and driven in 653 runs (9th in baseball). Philadelphia gave up 1,303 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 600 earned runs. The Phillies have a team ERA of 3.81 (9th in the league) so far this season and have faced 1,401 batters. They have substituted 436 players from the other team and their FIP as a unit for the season is 3.86.

The Phillies’ relief pitchers have a save percentage of 65.5% and have taken the mound in 131 save situations. Bullpen pitchers have inherited 133 runners this season and 35.3% of those players have walked at the plate. The Phillies’ bullpen pitchers have taken the mound with opponents on base 95 times and have also made 166 appearances in high-leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 506 relievers to the mound this year. The bullpen has posted 75 holds this year (24th in the league). They made 36 saves this season and missed 19 of their 55 chances to save the game.

The Phillies have converted 69.4% of balls in play into outs in their 12,759 innings on the field, ranking them 20th in the majors. The Philadelphia Phillies have amassed 4,253 putouts on the season, as well as 1,442 assists and 83 errors. Their fielding percentage is .986, 12th in professional baseball, and they have made 118 double plays.

Nola has pitched 1,615 innings and recorded 1,772 strikeouts in his professional baseball career. His ERA is 3.70 (664 ERs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.136. He has given up 1,414 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 421 free passes. Nola (103-79 career win-loss record) owns a 3.64 FIP and has faced 6,612 batters in the majors.

The Nationals have a .372 SLG% and are scoring 4.04 runs per game (25th in MLB). They recorded 265 doubles, were given a free base 448 times and scored 642 runs. Washington accounted for 131 home runs and 604 runs batted in during the campaign. They struck out 1,188 times (26th in baseball) and totaled 1,270 base hits. The Washington Nationals have a .307 on-base percentage and a .241 team batting average so far this season.

Washington’s pitching staff has conceded 754 runs so far this year while maintaining a 4.32 ERA (675 earned runs scored). They have thrown 166 long balls and are allowing 4.82 runs per 9 innings (25th in MLB). The Nationals have a team WHIP of 1.333 and a FIP of 3.95 as a team on the season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.20 (1,288 strikeouts versus 465 free passes). They currently rank 28th in the MLB with a total of 1,411 hits given up.

With 142 saves, the Nationals have 80 holds and 22 failed saves. Washington came into the game with 62 save opportunities and made 40 saves. Their bullpen pitchers were used 136 times in high-leverage situations and 154 times with runners. Washington relief pitchers have an inherited scoring percentage of 35.9% out of 220 inherited runners. They rank 15th in the MLB with a save rate of 64.5% and have sent 558 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.

In their 12,663 innings pitched, the Nationals have a defensive efficiency of 67.5% (29th in MLB). The Washington Nationals made 153 double plays and posted a .981 fielding percentage (28th in baseball). The Nationals have 1,408 assists, 108 errors and 4,221 putouts this year.

During his professional baseball career, Irvin has allowed 286 hits and recorded 252 strikeouts in 304 frames. He collected a total of 148 ERs while maintaining a WHIP of 1.279 and a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.45 and has faced 1,278 opposing batters in his career so far. Irvin (career mark 13-20) has a 4.38 ERA and allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink’s pick: Take Philadelphia

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