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Harris’ lead over Trump shrinks to 46% from 43%, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll

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The original version of this story incorrectly reported a survey completed last month. It has been updated with the most current information.

WASHINGTON, Oct 8 (Reuters) – Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris was nearly three percentage points ahead of Republican Donald Trump – 46% to 43% – as the two remained in a tight race to win the U.S. presidential election November 5th results in a new Reuters/Ipsos poll.

The four-day poll concluded Monday found that Trump, who trailed Harris by six points in a Sept. 20-23 Reuters/Ipsos poll, was the preferred candidate on a range of economic issues and that some voters were swayed by his claims Illegal immigrants in the country are prone to crime, a claim that has been widely refuted by academics and think tanks.

The survey had a margin of error of about 3 percentage points.

Respondents rated the economy as the country’s biggest problem, and about 44% said Trump had a better approach to addressing the “cost of living,” compared with 38% who chose Harris.

Among a range of economic issues the next president should address, about 70% of respondents said the cost of living was most important, with only a small share picking the job market, taxes or “making myself better off financially.” Trump also had more support than Harris in each of these areas, although voters said Harris was the better candidate to close the gap between wealthy and average Americans by a margin of 42% to 35%.

Trump appeared to be buoyed by widespread concern over immigration, which is currently at its highest level in over a century in America. About 53% of voters said in the poll that they agreed that “immigrants who are in the country illegally pose a threat to public safety,” compared to 41% who disagreed with that statement. In a Reuters/Ipsos poll in May, voters were more divided on the issue, with 45% agreeing and 46% disagreeing.

At campaign rallies throughout the year, Trump drew attention to crimes committed by immigrants in the country illegally. Although there is little data on the immigration status of criminals, studies have generally found that immigrants are no more likely to commit crimes than native-born Americans.

Since entering the race in late July, Harris has led Trump in each of the six Reuters/Ipsos polls of their matchup. The latest poll showed Harris gaining two percentage points – 47% to 45% – among voters most likely to cast a ballot in November. According to an estimate by the Pew Research Center, about two-thirds of eligible voters took part in the 2020 presidential election.

In the most recent poll, voters trusted Harris’ mental acuity more than Trump’s: 55% agreed with the statement that she was “mentally sharp and able to handle challenges,” compared to 46% who said the same of Trump said.

While national polls, including Reuters/Ipsos polls, provide important clues about voters’ views, the Electoral College results for each state will determine the winner, with seven battleground states likely to be decisive. Polls have shown Harris and Trump running neck-and-neck in these battleground states, with many results falling within the margins of error.

Harris entered the race after Democratic President Joe Biden ended his re-election effort following a weak debate against Trump in June. Trump was widely seen as the front-runner at the time, in part because of his perceived strength in the economy after several years of high inflation under the Biden administration.

The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll surveyed 1,272 U.S. adults nationwide online, including 1,076 registered voters. Of those, 969 were considered the most likely to vote on election day.

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By Jasper

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