Development opportunities for areas in the Western Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico are increasing

TAMPA, Fla. – The prospects for developing an area in the Western Caribbean/Gulf region are slowly increasing.

This could develop into a named storm and is expected to gradually strengthen. The chances of development in the next seven days are up to 50%.

The area to be observed moves over deep, warm water that provides plenty of fuel to tap into. The blue line shows the track of Hurricane Helene, which strengthened as it passed directly over this area of ​​high heat potential.

It’s too early to discuss details about strength or route. We’ll have a better idea by the middle of this week. Many models suggest that some will form in the western Caribbean before reaching the Gulf of Mexico.

It looks like a front will be part of the steering flow guiding this area late next week. But there is still a lot up in the air. At the moment we are monitoring it and will keep you updated.

The Atlantic remains active until early October. There are two more waves off the coast of Africa that we will be tracking in the coming week.

The good news is that both Hurricane Isaac and Tropical Storm Joyce will have no impact on landfall.