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Chiefs vs. Ravens 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks – September 5

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The Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) are favored by three points against the Baltimore Ravens (0-0). The game begins on September 5, 2024 at 8:20 p.m. ET and will be broadcast on NBC. The expected total score for the duel is 47.

Stay up to date with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

Kickoff Week 1: Why are the Chiefs so hard to beat? | Breakfast Ball

Kickoff Week 1: Why are the Chiefs so hard to beat? | Breakfast Ball

The 2024/25 NFL season begins tonight with the Baltimore Ravens facing the Kansas City Chiefs. Craig Carton says Patrick Mahomes is the only reason the Chiefs are so hard to beat.

Chiefs vs. Ravens betting information updated September 5, 2024 at 1:33 PM ET.
favorite Spread Favorite spread odds Outsider spread odds In total Total surplus ratios Under total quotas
Chiefs -3 -105 -115 47 -112 -108

Chiefs vs. Ravens – Prediction and Pick

  • Choose ATS: Ravens (+3)
  • Select OU: Under (47)
  • Forecast:
    Ravens 22 – Chiefs 18

How to watch Kansas City vs. Baltimore

  • Match date: Thursday, September 5, 2024
  • Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
  • Venue: GEHA field at Arrowhead Stadium
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • TV: NBC
  • Live match report: FOX Sports

Current matches between Chiefs and Ravens

  • In the last five direct meetings, Kansas City has defeated Baltimore four times.
  • In the last five direct duels, Kansas City scored 146 points and Baltimore 112.

Kansas City Betting Information

  • Kansas City was able to cover 10 of 17 chances against the spread last season.
  • Against the spread, the Chiefs finished 8-5 as favorites by 3 or more points last season.
  • Last season, the total points scored in Kansas City’s games exceeded the total points scored five times.
  • The Chiefs won 62.5% of games last season when they were favored on the moneyline (10-6).
  • When Kansas City played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -148 or less, it had a record of 9-5 (winning 64.3% of its games).
  • Based on the moneyline of this contest, the Chiefs’ implied probability of winning is 59.7%.

Chiefs Stats (2023)

statistics Average (Total) Rank
Pass Miles 246.4 (4,188) 6
Rush Courts 104.9 (1,784) 19
Points scored 21.8 (371) 15
Pass Yards against 176.5 (3,001) 4
Rush Yards against 113.2 (1,925) 17
Allowed points 17.3 (294) 2

Kansas City’s most important players

attack

  • Patrick Mahomes threw for 4,183 yards last year (sixth in the NFL), with 27 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and 14 interceptions. He completed 67.2% of his passes and averaged 261.4 yards per game and 7 per attempt.
  • He also managed 389 yards on the ground without a single rushing touchdown. His average was 24.3 yards per game and 5.2 yards per attempt.
  • Isiah Pacheco had 935 rushing yards and seven rushing touchdowns while averaging 66.8 yards per game and 4.6 per carry (11th in the NFL).
  • Pacheco also had 44 catches for 244 yards and two touchdowns. He was targeted 49 times and averaged 17.4 yards per game.
  • Over the course of 16 games last season, Rashee Rice recorded 79 catches (4.9 receptions per game on 6.4 targets per game) for 938 yards and seven receiving touchdowns.
  • Travis Kelce was targeted 121 times, resulting in 93 catches for 984 yards.

defense

  • Justin Reid intercepted one pass and had 95 tackles, five TFL, three sacks and seven passes defensed in 2023.
  • Trent McDuffie’s stats included 80 tackles, three TFL, three sacks and seven passes defensed.
  • Chris Jones recorded 10.5 sacks, 13 TFL, and 30 tackles in the 2023 season.
  • Drue Tranquill collected 79 tackles, seven TFL, 4.5 sacks and one pass defensed.

Baltimore Betting Information

  • Baltimore won 11 games against the spread last season, failing to cover six times.
  • As an underdog of 3 points or more, the Ravens had two wins ATS last year (2-1).
  • A total of eight of Baltimore’s games last season were above average.
  • The Ravens were underdogs in three games last season and won two (66.7%) of those games.
  • Last season, Baltimore won two of its three games when it was at least a +124 underdog on the moneyline.
  • Based on the implied moneyline probability, the Ravens have a 44.6% chance of winning this game.

Ravens Stats (2023)

statistics Average (Total) Rank
Pass Miles 213.8 (3,635) 21
Rush Courts 156.5 (2,661) 1
Points scored 28.4 (483) 4
Pass Yards against 191.9 (3,263) 6
Rush Yards against 109.4 (1,860) 14
Allowed points 16.5 (280) 1

Baltimore’s key players

attack

  • In 16 games last year, Lamar Jackson totaled 3,678 passing yards, with 24 TD passes and seven INTs, while converting 67.2% of his attempts.
  • On the ground, Jackson added five touchdowns and 821 yards.
  • Derrick Henry scored 12 rushing touchdowns and accumulated 1,167 total rushing yards (4.2 per run and 68.6 per game).
  • Henry caught 28 balls (1.6 per game) for 214 yards (12.6 per game) without a touchdown. He was targeted 36 times.
  • Last year, Zay Flowers caught 77 passes for 858 yards and five touchdowns. He was targeted 108 times and averaged 4.8 catches in 16 games.
  • Mark Andrews gained 544 yards and six touchdowns with 45 catches on 61 attempts.

defense

  • Roquan Smith’s performance in 2023 included 158 tackles, five TFL, 1.5 sacks and one interception in 16 games.
  • Justin Madubuike had 13 sacks plus 12 TFL and 56 tackles.
  • Kyle Hamilton had three sacks and 10 TFL, 81 tackles and four interceptions during the 2023 season.
  • Brandon Stephens had two TFL, 71 tackles and two interceptions.

FOX Sports created this story using technology from Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Kansas City Chiefs

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By Jasper

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