Buccaneers vs Falcons NFL Prediction, Odds: “TNF” Contest in Same Game

The 2024 NFL season has been full of surprises, perhaps none bigger than the 3-1 start from Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers.

Tampa Bay’s passing offense has been a big part of its success, considering the running game has been slow to get going.

With the Buccaneers visiting Atlanta on Thursday night, there’s a chance the Falcons could be under pressure to put points on the board to keep pace with Tampa Bay point for point.

We’ll be revisiting this aspect as part of our bet365 three-game competition.

Buccaneers vs Falcons odds

Buccaneers vs. Falcons parlay in the same game

• Stage 1: Buccaneers 1H +0.5 (-115)
• Stage 2: Kirk Cousins ​​for 226.5 yards (-110)
• Stage 3: Kyle Pitts over 30.5 receiving yards (-110)

Buccaneers 1H +0.5 (-115)

A first-half underdog, Mayfield has been one of the most underrated oddsmakers in recent seasons. According to Action Network, the quarterback is 2-0 against the spread (ATS) at the position this season and 14-6 over the last three seasons.

The former No. 1 overall pick tied a career-high 28 touchdown passes in 2023, prompting Tampa Bay to reward him with a three-year, $100 million contract.

Mayfield’s outstanding performance might even have persuaded coach Todd Bowles, who is traditionally very conservative, to take a more offensive approach. However, Bowles may have little choice considering his rushing attack ranks in the bottom half of the league with a 38.1% success rate, while his team’s passing rate ranks 10th at 60.5%.

That aggressiveness should serve them well against an Atlanta defense that ranks in the bottom half against the pass in FTN Fantasy’s Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) metric.

Kirk Cousins ​​Over 226.5 Yards (-110)

With the Buccaneers pressuring the Falcons to keep up offensively, it makes sense to target Falcons QB Kirk Cousins ​​to surpass his 226.5 yards passing total.

The Falcons will likely have trouble running the ball on Thursday as 6-foot-1, 347-pound Vita Vea lines up in the middle of the Buccaneers’ line.

Atlanta is only slightly better than Tampa Bay in rush success rate (38.6%) and ranks 14th in the league with a passing percentage of 58.14%.

Cousins ​​has exceeded that prediction in five of his previous six home games and in his last three games. If you like the Buccaneers in this matchup, there is a clear path for Cousins ​​to pass over his pass support.

Kyle Pitts over 30.5 receiving yards (-110)

This is a normal contrarian play considering the Falcons tight end didn’t record a single reception last week for the first time in his NFL career.

Pitts doesn’t need to look at the box score to know he finished the game without a catch, and he’ll probably hang around his quarterback’s locker looking for an explanation.

Betting on the NFL?

He has had at least 31 receiving yards in five of his last eight games after finishing with 15 or fewer. Combine that with opposing tight ends averaging 33.5 receiving yards against the Bucs, and there’s just enough to justify a play against Pitts that goes over that prop.

Best bet: Same game (+425, bet365)

• Stage 1: Buccaneers 1H +0.5 (-115)
• Stage 2: Kirk Cousins ​​for 226.5 yards (-110)
• Stage 3: Kyle Pitts over 30.5 receiving yards (-110)

Why you should trust New York Post Betting

For the New York Post, Michael Arinze hinders most major sports. He has won two 15-leg teasers and a 12-leg parlay in his betting career, which spanned eight games of the Little League World Series. Most recently, he precisely selected the finalists for the 2024 European Championship and the Copa América.