close
close
Better Dividend Stock: Target vs. Walmart

Dividend stocks have generated the lion’s share of returns for equity investors over the past century. The main reason for this is the compounding effect of dividend reinvestment and the generally above-average financial health of dividend-paying companies.

Within the diverse dividend stock universe, retailers are Walmart (NYSE: WMT) And Goal (NYSE:TGT) have long been among the best performing companies in the group. Both companies are valued by dividend investors for their reliable distributions, prudent capital management and first-class competitive positions in the retail environment.

A roll of US money next to a small sign that says “Dividends.”A roll of US money next to a small sign that says “Dividends.”

A roll of US money next to a small sign that says “Dividends.”

Image source: Getty Images.

Here is a comparison of these two highest dividend stocks.

Market position and financial health

Walmart’s enormous size gives it a significant competitive advantage in the highly competitive retail industry, as its extensive store network reaches the majority of U.S. consumers. The company’s broad assortment of goods, including an extensive grocery offering, somewhat insulates it from digital competition. Target, under CEO Brian Cornell since 2014, has focused on improving the in-store shopping experience and building out omnichannel fulfillment capabilities through its “stores as hubs” model.

On the financial side of the balance sheet, Walmart is expected to grow its sales by 8.6% in fiscal years 2025 and 2026, according to Wall Street analysts. The company’s debt ratio is 75% and it generated $35 billion in operating cash flow over the past 12 months.

Target’s financial position, on the other hand, is not quite as robust. The retail giant is expected to report an 8.4% increase in sales. Waste in fiscal 2025 before posting a modest 3.6% increase in sales in fiscal 2026. The debt ratio is also a whopping 144%, suggesting the retailer has a highly leveraged balance sheet. Target generated $8.46 billion in operating cash flow over the last 12 months, which pales in comparison to Walmart’s annual operating cash flow.

Valuation, shareholder compensation and outlook

Walmart shares trade at 28.9 times expected earnings, compared to 16 times for Target and the S&P50021.5 times. Walmart offers a dividend yield of 1.19% with a payout ratio of 33%, while Target offers a higher yield of 3% but has a payout ratio of 49%. Walmart has increased the size of its dividend checks every year since 1974. Target has done so since it became a publicly traded company in 1967.

Both companies have continuously reduced the number of their outstanding shares in recent years through share buybacks. Walmart has reduced its share count by 5.7 percent and Target by 10.2 percent over the past five years.

WMT - Average number of diluted shares outstanding (annual)WMT - Average number of diluted shares outstanding (annual)

WMT – Average number of diluted shares outstanding (annual)

WMT Average Diluted Shares Outstanding (Annual) data by YCharts

Both retailers face ongoing challenges from e-commerce competition. Walmart’s recent investments in supply chain automation are expected to increase margins. Target, on the other hand, remains focused on its brand image, omnichannel capabilities and unique shopping experience. The retailer is also rolling out an artificial intelligence initiative to improve its shopping experience and presumably reduce costs.

Verdict

While Target offers a higher current yield and a longer streak of dividend increases, Walmart’s stronger financial position, lower payout ratio and better growth prospects could make it a more attractive option for long-term dividend investors. However, investors prioritize current income might prefer Target because the retailer offers a much higher yield and an exceptionally long streak of dividend increases.

Should you invest $1,000 in Walmart now?

Before you buy Walmart stock, consider the following:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor The analyst team has just published what they believe to be The 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Walmart wasn’t among them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could deliver huge returns in the years to come.

Consider when NVIDIA created this list on April 15, 2005… if you had invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, You would have $683,777!*

Stock Advisor offers investors an easy-to-understand plan for success, including instructions on how to build a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock recommendations per month. The Stock Advisor Service has more than quadrupled the return of the S&P 500 since 2002*.

View the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of July 29, 2024

George Budwell holds positions in Target. The Motley Fool holds positions in and recommends Target and Walmart. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

By Jasper

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *