Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction, September 27, 2024 MLB tips, best bets and odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins

Date: Friday, September 27, 2024

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: MASN

Odds/point distribution: Baltimore (+122) Minnesota (-250)

The Baltimore Orioles (88-70) head to Target Field on Friday where they will try to defeat the Minnesota Twins (82-76). The moneyline for this game is +122 for the Orioles and -250 for the Twins. The bet total is 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Cade Povich and Pablo Lopez.

As a team, the Baltimore Orioles allow 4.8 runs per game, which is 5th in baseball. They have a total of 763 runs scored and a team on-base percentage of .315. The Orioles have compiled 258 doubles and knocked 228 baseballs out of the park as a squad. They have 736 RBIs and 1,347 hits this season while their average at the plate is .249. Baltimore has a .435 slugging percentage and has struck out 1,323 times while walking 479 times.

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They have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.87 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.24. Orioles pitchers have allowed 169 home runs and 683 total runs (16th in baseball). Baltimore has given up 1,277 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 617 earned runs. The Orioles have a 3.95 ERA this season (14th in the league) and their team has struck out 1,348 batters. Their pitching staff has struck out 469 opposing batters and their FIP as a team on the campaign is 3.91.

Orioles relief pitchers have taken the mound with runners on base 171 times and have had 156 appearances in high-leverage situations. Relief pitchers recorded 108 holds on the year (2nd in baseball). The Orioles relievers posted a save rate of 68.7% and came into the game in 176 save situations. They have made 46 saves this year and missed 21 of 67 save opportunities. Bullpen pitchers have inherited 246 baserunners this season, 30.5% of which crossed the plate. The Orioles have sent 531 replacement players to the mound this season.

The Orioles have converted 70.2% of baseballs thrown into outs in their 12,663 innings on the field, ranking them 13th in professional baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have 4,221 putouts, 1,310 assists and 80 errors this year. Their fielding percentage is .986, which ranks them 12th in professional baseball, and they have 97 double plays.

Povich took the mound in 74 innings and recorded 67 K’s in his MLB career. His ERA is 5.59 (46 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1,500. He has allowed 78 hits (9.5 hits per nine innings) and 33 walks. Povich (2-9 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 5.51 while facing 332 batters in the major leagues.

Minnesota has 179 home runs and 691 runs batted in this year. They hit 303 doubles, drew 459 walks and scored 730 runs. The Minnesota Twins have an on-base percentage of .316 and a team batting average of .247 for the year. The Twins have a SLG% of .413 and are allowing 4.62 runs per contest (10th in the league). They have recorded 1,282 strikeouts (20th in MLB) and totaled 1,322 base hits.

The Twins have a team WHIP of 1.215 in addition to a FIP of 3.83 as a pitching staff on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio is 9.30 (1,451 strikeouts against 418 free passes). With a total of 1,283 hits given up, they rank 15th in the MLB as a pitching team. They have allowed 183 HRs and given up 4.53 runs per 9 innings (19th in baseball). Minnesota’s pitching staff scored 705 runs during the campaign while maintaining a 4.21 ERA (655 earned runs given up).

Minnesota has allowed bullpen pitchers to take the mound on 62 saves and made 43 saves. They rank 5th in the MLB with a save rate of 69.4% and have sent 516 bullpen pitchers to the diamond this season. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the mound 197 times in high-leverage situations and also 130 times with base runners. Minnesota bullpen pitchers have an inherited scoring percentage of 41.6% out of 190 inherited baserunners. With 152 save situations, the Twins have collected 88 holds and 19 failed saves.

In their 12,603 ​​innings on the field, the Twins have a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (18th in professional baseball). The Minnesota Twins made 75 double plays and posted a .988 fielding percentage (3rd in professional baseball). The Twins have recorded 1,200 assists, 67 errors and 4,201 putouts this season.

Lopez (career record 54-48) has a 3.91 earned run average and allows 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 4.00 and has faced 3,656 opposing batters so far in his career. He gave up a total of 384 earned runs while maintaining a WHIP of 1.179 and owning a FIP of 3.9. So far in his career, Lopez has allowed 813 hits and has 913 K’s in 883 innings.

Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald’s Pick: Take Baltimore (+122)

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