Tips and analysis for today’s afternoon game at Delaware Park:
- DATE: August 10, 2024, 12:30 pm first post
- RACING ON THE MAP: 7
- TRANSFERS: None
- POSTAL TIME: 12:30 p.m.
RACE 1
2. Ramiel | The son of top sire Tapit is out of a mare who won straight away; trainer Lynch has a win rate of 29% for 2-year-old first horses |
1. Let’s have a party | Pressured the 6-5 winner on debut but couldn’t keep up with the top pair on the track |
4. Bobby Rocky Jake | Improved speed in the latest |
RACE 2
7. Yodeling EA Who | Noble old veteran with earnings of almost $700,000; not the horse he once was, but probably too much for this |
4. Secret Alliance | In a race with a slow initial pace, he should finish first and second in the first half and be in a good position to cause a stir later |
3. The Gambling Czar | Should the company find itself more sympathetic in a simpler situation; two out of three will come back from the most recently won follow-up competitions |
RACE 3 – OFF THE PIT
9. Nohai | Trainer Lynch entered the impressive debut winner Caprice, who won the same race by 13 lengths on July 20 and has a 33% strike rate for 2-year-old first-place finishers; the dam won first and then finished second in one race and the sire Gormley has a 9% strike rate for 2-year-old debut runners |
4. Happy Flay | Showed good early speed on his debut and chased a blistering pace. Although he was clearly no match for the runaway winner Caprice, he finished third and that was a useful start. He can move forward and holds rider Centeno |
8. My Charm | Bernardini mare is out of a multiple stakes winner for a stable that can win first out of the box |
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RACE 4
5. Dancing Beauty | The fast guy hopes to take control early here; he hasn’t been able to do that recently, but there isn’t much other pace here |
7. Majesty’s Freedom | Some moderate movement lately; pullback to the bottom should support things |
3. By numbers | If you go down and then sprint again, this should continue |
RACE 5 – OFF THE PIT
4. City minute | That miss made headlines at Penn National this morning; the father has an 18% hit rate among older debutants and two of three half-siblings have won on their debut. |
2. Wampy | Willing debut, as part of the early foursome before tiring towards the end; improvement likely |
6. My dream comes true | The mare Gun Runner has trained well at MTH; she is registered there for a race tomorrow |
RACE NOTES
- Due to the remnants of Hurricane Debby, Thursday’s nightcap and the entire Friday program had to be cancelled…
- jockey Jaime Rodriguez scored a hat-trick on Thursday, two of these victories came from the leading coach Jamie Ness…
RACE 6
2. The devil pays with gold | The worst of the trip I had to endure lastly by frequently tapping the brakes behind the horses, but I was still willing; a cleaner trip could do it today |
3. Blessed Touch | Girvin’s expensive mare impressed early in her career; perhaps a change of scenery will help her get back into shape; trainer Stidham brings solid horses off the bench |
5. Turn the breeze | For the third time from the bench in the starting eleven |
RACE 7 – OFF THE PIT
6. California sober | Has trained fairly well on the track for career debut; dam was a stakes winner and several of her siblings ran well on debut, though without winners. |
2. Haizum | Arrogate’s colt has good qualities but has not made much of an impression in his races; on the other hand, he has been in good company, including starts at Churchill and Saratoga |
5. The great Andy Mort | The improved sorting showed a new speed with added blinks and back on the main track |