Phillies vs. Mets NLDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Tips – October 8th

Data script

The NLDS continues Tuesday at 5:08 p.m. ET when the Philadelphia Phillies visit the New York Mets live on FOX from Citi Field. Both teams are looking for a decisive win to end the 1-1 tie in the series after the first two games. The oddsmakers have the Phillies as -114 moneyline favorites while giving the underdog Mets a -106 moneyline odds. Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at +161 odds). The total is 7.5 runs for this matchup.

Here you’ll find everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Mets game, including run line, moneyline and total, as well as expert tips.

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Phillies vs. Mets game information and odds

• When: Tuesday, October 8, 2024, 5:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: FOX

Phillies vs Mets Prediction

• Result prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4
• Overall prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Probabilities of winning: Phillies 54%, Mets 46%

Phillies vs. Mets betting insights

• The Phillies have won 81, or 61.8%, of the 131 games they have played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia has a 78-48 record in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -114 on the money line.
• With the moneyline set for this matchup, sportsbooks have suggested the Phillies have a 53.3% chance of winning.
• The Mets have been picked as underdogs in 68 games this year and have emerged victorious 31 times (45.6%) in those games.
• New York has a win-loss record of 28-33 this year when favored by sportsbooks at -106 or worse.
• The Mets have an implied win probability of 51.5% according to the money line set by the oddsmakers for this matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-114

O 7.5

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

-106

U 7.5

Current Phillies betting performance

• The Phillies have been the money-line favorite in nine of their last 10 games, finishing 4-5 in those meetings.
• In their last 10 meetings, the Phillies and their opponents have combined to exceed the run total eight times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Phillies’ ATS record is 3-7-0 in their last 10 games.

Current Phillies stats

Insights into Phillies players

• Bryce Harper leads the Phillies in OBP, slugging and hits, reaches base at a .373 rate while slugging .525 and recording 157 basehits.
• Of all batters in baseball, Harper’s home run total ranks 20th and his RBI total ranks him 31st.
• Harper is on a three-game scoring streak in this matchup. In his last five appearances, he hit .286 with a double, a home run, six walks and two RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber’s 38 home runs and 104 runs batted in lead his team.
• Schwarber ranks eighth in home runs and 10th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Alec Bohm is batting .280 with 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks.
• Nicholas Castellanos is batting .254 with 30 doubles, four triples, 23 home runs and 41 walks.
• Castellanos has scored at least one goal in two consecutive games. In his last five appearances, he hit .400 with a triple, a home run, a walk and two RBI.

Phillies team props

Find out more about this Phillies-Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Current Mets betting performance

• The Mets played as underdogs in seven of their last 10 games, winning four of those contests.
• Overall, the Mets and their opponents have failed to hit an over four times in their last 10 games.
• The Mets have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Current Mets stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor leads the Mets with 91 runs batted in while posting a team-high .273 batting average.
• Lindor’s home run total puts him 14th in the majors and 25th in RBI.
• Pete Alonso showed his strength as he led his team with 34 home runs.
• Alonso ranks 12th in home runs and 29th in RBI among all hitters in the MLB.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .224 with 25 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks.
• Jesse Winker is batting .253 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks.

Mets team props

Mets’ Mark Vientos hits his second home run of the game against Phillies, a two-run blast to tie the game

Mark Vientos of the New York Mets hit his second home run of the game against the Philadelphia Phillies, a two-run blast to tie the game.

FOX Sports created this story using technology and data from Sportradar provided by Data Skrive.

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New York Mets

Philadelphia Phillies