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St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction MLB Tips 9/29/24

San Francisco Giants (80-81) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (82-79)



Game info: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 3:05 p.m. (Oracle Park)

Hayden Birdsong (5-5) (4.66) vs. Michael McGreevy (2-0) (2.40)

Betting Odds: San Francisco Giants -125 / St. Louis Cardinals +105 — Over/Under: 8.5 Click here for the latest odds

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In this article, we formulate a St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 29th at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California. To formulate this prediction for the third game in the series, we will examine the following:

  • Current form and player performance of the Cardinals
  • Current form and current game performance of the Giants
  • Current betting trends and series around St. Louis
  • Current betting trends and series around San Francisco
  • Current betting trends for games between St. Louis and San Francisco
  • A summary that ties it all together and results in a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between St. Louis and San Francisco

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 82-79 this year and have lost two of their last three games. St. Louis won the first game of this series 6-3 but lost the second game on Saturday. Prior to this series, the Cardinals won two of three games against the Rockies, two of three games against the Guardians and three of four games against the Pirates. St. Louis is 5-2 in its last seven games and sits in third place in the NL Central.

The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.06 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average. The Cardinals’ offense scored 666 runs with a .248 batting average and .311 on-base percentage. Paul Goldschmidt is batting .245 with 22 home runs and 64 RBIs for the Cardinals this season.

San Francisco Giants betting preview

The San Francisco Giants have an 80-81 record this season and have lost two of their last three games. San Francisco won the second game of this series 6-5 on Saturday evening. Prior to this series, San Francisco won two of three games against the Diamondbacks, defeated the Royals and won two of three games against the Orioles. San Francisco is 6-2 in its last eight games and sits in fourth place in the NL West.

San Francisco’s pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average. The Giants’ offense scored 692 runs with a .239 batting average and .306 on-base percentage. Heliot Ramos is hitting .269 with 22 home runs and 72 RBIs for the Giants this season.

Start pitcher

The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Michael McGreevy, who is 2-0 with a 2.40 ERA and 0.87 WHIP over 15.0 innings this year. McGreevy has allowed four earned runs and 11 hits in three games this season. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Hayden Birdsong, who is 5-5 with a 4.66 ERA and 1.37 WHIP over 67.2 innings this season. Birdsong has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts.

Why the Giants will beat the Cardinals

  • The Cardinals have lost each of their last nine Sunday games as underdogs on the road against NL West opponents.
  • The Giants have won six of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
  • The Giants have covered the run line after a win in four of their last five game days.

Why the Cardinals will beat the Giants

  • After an away loss, the Cardinals have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Giants have lost seven of their last eight games against NL Central opponents with a winning record.
  • The Giants have failed to reach the run line in nine of their last 10 games against NL Central opponents with a winning record.
  • The Cardinals have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL West opponents with a losing record.

Facts about total runs

  • Eight of the Giants’ last nine games against NL Central opponents have exceeded the point total.
  • Each of the Cardinals’ last three road games against NL West opponents exceeded the run total.
  • The Inning 1 OVER 0.5 Runs market has been the favorite in each of the Giants’ last six games.
  • The Inning 1 OVER 0.5 Run market has been successful in each of the Cardinals’ last five games as underdogs against NL West opponents.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Matt Chapman has recorded at least a double in each of the Giants’ last three games against NL opponents at Oracle Park.
  • Michael Conforto has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances.
  • LaMonte Wade Jr. has singled in seven of the Giants’ last eight home games against NL opponents with a winning record.
  • Matt Chapman has scored at least one goal in each of the Giants’ last nine games as a favorite against NL Central opponents.
  • Casey Schmitt has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that had a winning record.
  • Casey Schmitt has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances in day games against teams with a winning record.
  • Jung Hoo Lee has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

  • Masyn Winn has recorded a double in four of the Cardinals’ last five games against the Giants.
  • Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances against the Giants.
  • Masyn Winn has scored at least one run in each of the Cardinals’ last eight games against NL West opponents with a losing record.
  • Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one single in each of his last six appearances.
  • Nolan Arenado has scored at least one goal in each of his last 11 road games against NL West opponents.
  • Brendan Donovan has scored at least one total base in each of the Cardinals’ last seven games against NL West opponents with a losing record.
  • Lars Nootbaar has hit a home run in two of the Cardinals’ last three games against opponents with a losing record.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction

Both teams won’t be going to the postseason this year, but they played pretty well last week and will look to finish the season on a high note here. The Giants have a 42-38 record at home this year, while the Cardinals have a 38-42 record on the road. San Francisco starts with Birdsong, who I don’t love, but who has performed better in recent games. The Cardinals are banking on McGreevy, who has performed fairly well in limited appearances this season. I like how these two starting players have looked in recent games and I think we’ll see a lower scoring game, so take the lower bound here.

The selections in this article are the opinion of the author and not a consensus of the PickDawgz site.

By Jasper

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