Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction, September 29, 2024 MLB tips, best bets and odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs

Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

The Chicago Cubs (81-78) will face the Cincinnati Reds (76-83) at Wrigley Field on Sunday. Hunter Greene and Shota Imanaga are expected to be pitchers.

As a team, the Cincinnati Reds score 4.4 runs per game, which ranks them 16th in the MLB. They drove in 696 runs and had an OBP of .306. As a team, the Reds compiled 256 two-baggers and hit 174 balls out of the stadium. They have 660 RBIs and 1,214 hits on the year while their batting average is .232. Cincinnati has a .392 slugging percentage and has been called for strikes 1,445 times while walking 488 times.

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The Reds have a team earned run average of 4.14 so far this year (19th in baseball) and their team has struck out 1,360 hitters. Reds pitchers have allowed 196 home runs and 690 total runs (16th in MLB). They have used 475 players from the other team so far this season and their FIP as a team is 4.26 so far. Cincinnati has given up 1,286 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 645 earned runs. They have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.86 and their pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.26.

The Reds’ substitutes have entered the contest with runners on 141 occasions and have also made 150 appearances in high-leverage situations. Relief pitchers have earned 78 holds this year (22nd in MLB). The Reds’ backup players have posted a save rate of 70.0% and have taken the mound in 131 save situations. They racked up 35 saves on the year and missed 15 of their 50 save opportunities. Relief pitchers inherited 220 runners on the year, 30.5% of whom crossed the plate. The Reds have put 525 relief pitchers on the mound this year.

The Reds have converted 70.0% of baseballs thrown into outs in their 12,618 innings on the diamond, ranking them 15th in professional baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have a total of 4,206 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,189 assists and 95 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently .983, which ranks them 27th in baseball, and they have hit 99 double plays.

Greene (18-25 career win-loss record) has a 3.89 FIP while facing 1,624 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He allowed 310 base knocks (7.3 hits per nine innings) and had 150 walks. His ERA is 3.94 (168 ERs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.200. Greene took the mound in 383 innings and had 482 strikeouts in his career.

Chicago hit 170 home runs and 692 runs batted in on the season. They had 251 doubles, walked 534 and scored 732 runs. The Chicago Cubs posted a .318 on-base percentage in addition to a .243 team batting average for the season. The Cubs have a team slugging percentage of .396 and average 4.60 runs per game (11th in baseball). They were called out 1,352 times (15th in MLB) and recorded 1,302 base knocks.

The Chicago pitching staff has given up 666 runs so far this season while posting a team ERA of 3.84 (599 earned runs given up). They have given up 181 home runs and 4.27 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.256 and a FIP of 4.06 as a unit over the course of the season. They currently have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.50 (1,334 strikeouts vs. 477 bases on balls). With a total of 1,286 hits given up, they rank 14th in the MLB as a pitching team.

Chicago relievers have an inherited scoring rate of 32.2% out of 214 inherited baserunners. Their relievers took the mound 164 times in high-leverage situations and 138 times with runners. With 142 saves, the Cubs have accumulated 79 holds and 26 failed saves. They rank 26th in the league with a 58.1% save rate and have sent 487 bullpen pitchers to the mound this season. Chicago had relievers step on the mound in 62 save opportunities and made 36 saves.

In 12,639 innings on the diamond, the Cubs have posted a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (11th in the majors). The Chicago Cubs have hit 89 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (8th in MLB). The Cubs have 1,314 assists, 76 errors and 4,213 total putouts this season.

During his MLB career, Imanaga has given up 149 hits and struck out 174 times in 173 innings pitched. He gave up a total of 56 earned runs while posting a WHIP of 1.023 and a FIP of 2.9. He has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 6.21 and has faced 694 batters in his MLB career. Imanaga (15-3 career record) has a 2.91 ERA and has given up 7.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn’s pick: Take Chicago

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