Denver Broncos at New York Jets: 5 Bold Predictions

The Denver Broncos are looking for their second win against the New York Jets on the street. It will be a tough task, but a win means the Broncos will ride with confidence.

In Tampa, the Broncos also fulfilled one of my bold predictions, and it was a huge success. My predictions for the Broncos are much more positive this week, and if they meet those, they will come home with a 2-2 record on the season. Then the schedule becomes a little easier.

Let’s take a look at this week’s bold predictions for the Broncos-Jets.

After a trust game against the Tampa Bay BuccaneersNix and the Broncos offense keep doing what they’re doing. Sean Payton has found plays that work and can counteract the pressure the Jets can apply. Even when receivers struggle to get open, Nix can attack the defense and move the ball through the air.

The Jets are allowing just 150.7 passing yards per game, the fourth-fewest in the NFL this season and the eighth-fewest passing yards per game. What makes New York’s pass defense so difficult is the same thing as the Broncos: their pass rush.

The Jets have the second-highest pressure rate this season, but their time to pressure is 2.67 seconds. With the Broncos figuring out their quicker passing game against the Buccaneers, that will be their path to success for this prediction.

Forecast: Bo Nix throws for over 300 yards, two touchdowns and over 75 rushing yards.

This prediction isn’t that bold as the Jets have had a lot of trouble stopping the run this season. They have allowed the 10th-most rushing yards per game at 129.3 (3.3 yards more than the Broncos’ season average) and have the lowest run-stuff rate at 9.9%. The Jets are tied for the fifth-most runs over 10 yards, and the teams have averaged 4.8 yards per carry.

The inconsistency of the Broncos’ running game makes this prediction pretty bold. The Broncos average 99.7 rushing yards per game, which is the 12th lowest, as is their rushing EPA.

Additionally, the Broncos are barely in the top half in lowest run-stuff rate allowed at 15.3% (14th). If Denver’s offensive line and running backs find consistency against the aggressive Jets defense, Tyler Badie should top 100 yards as he’s the one Payton should look out for with hot hands running the ball.

Forecast: Badie gets the first 100-yard rushing game of his career.

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The Jets did a great job protecting Aaron Rodgers, while the Broncos did a great job getting to opposing quarterbacks. The Jets are the immovable object against the unstoppable power of the Broncos.

The Jets’ weak link was their left tackle, who had an error on 43.8% of pressures on Rodgers, second-most in the NFL. This is a chance for Nik Bonitto to stand out even more as a player, with Baron Browning serving as an injured reserve. Bonitto had a successful game against Tristan Wirfs of Tampa.

If Morgan Moses isn’t ready to start, that opens the door for Jonathon Cooper. The Jets’ interior line did well keeping Jeffery Simmons under pressure.

Things could be difficult for Zach Allen and the other Broncos down linemen. The Broncos need Bonitto and Cooper to help spread the line and create opportunities for the linemen. Thanks to the tight coverage, the Broncos often manage to get home.

Forecast: The Broncos sacked Rodgers at least five times (he was sacked just five times in three games).

The Jets’ running game has failed to get going this season, as they barely average over 100 rushing yards per game. Where the Broncos’ pass rush versus the Jets’ pass blocking is the unstoppable force against the immovable object, this is that stopable force against them movable Object. The Jets can’t run the ball consistently while the Broncos’ defense struggles to consistently stop the run.

Braelon Allen has had limited success, but his rushing style takes advantage of the Broncos’ strengths against the run. Breece Hall has struggled, but his running style picks up where the Broncos struggled.

Alex Singleton’s injury puts more pressure on the Broncos’ defense to stop the run. Still, the Broncos find a way to pull it off and keep the Jets from controlling the pace of the game.

Forecast: The Broncos held the Jets to under 70 total rushing yards.

The Jets have some personal feelings about this game, although not as much as last year. In Week 5, the Jets were penalized nine times while the Broncos only drew four flags.

The Jets have been more disciplined this year, with 18 penalties in three games, the 15th-fewest this season. However, some emotions arise against the Broncos, leading to errors and penalties. Once again, they are targeted at least twice as often as the Broncos.

In their last four meetings, the Broncos have been penalized 22 times, compared to 39 times for the Jets, eight times for the Broncos and 20 times for the Jets in the last two.

Forecast: The Jets face twice as many penalties as the Broncos.

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