See projected path, spaghetti models

A weakened Helene continues to bring rain to the Southeast, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring two more storms in the Atlantic and the formation of a new system in the Caribbean.

As the Southeast begins the recovery process from Hurricane Helene, which killed at least 43 people and caused billions of dollars in damage, the National Hurricane Center is tracking a hurricane and tropical storm in the Atlantic and a possible new tropical storm forming in Helene’s wake.

Helene, which weakened to a post-tropical cyclone on Friday, is expected to bring some rain and wind as it moves along the Kentucky-Tennessee border on Saturday, then across southern Pennsylvania and Virginia before moving into on Tuesday breaks into the Atlantic Ocean.

The National Hurricane Center is also monitoring other storm activity in the Atlantic Ocean, including Tropical Storm Joyce, which formed in the central tropical Atlantic on Friday. The storm was located about 1,120 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands with maximum sustained winds of nearly 50 miles per hour.

Tropical Storm Joyce, currently experiencing tropical storm force winds up to 105 miles from its center, is moving northwest at 10 miles per hour and is expected to weaken Sunday evening and Monday as it turns northwest and north, the center said. The storm is expected to become a remnant low by early Tuesday and pose no threat to landfall.

“Mightily strange”: Tiny stretch of Florida coast hit by three hurricanes in 13 months

Tracking the path of Tropical Storm Joyce

Tropical Storm Joyce Spaghetti Models

The figures cover a range of forecasting tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center only uses the four or five best-performing models in its forecasts.

NHC is also tracking Hurricane Isaac and a system in the Caribbean

Hurricane Isaac, located in the central Atlantic Ocean about 695 miles west-northwest of the Azores, remained a Category 2 hurricane Saturday morning, the center said. Isaac is moving east-northeast at a speed of 20 miles per hour and is expected to turn northeast over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are around 105 miles per hour, with hurricane-force winds extending up to 45 miles from its center. However, Monday’s storm is expected to be a post-tropical cyclone.

Neither Isaac nor Tropical Storm Joyce pose a threat to the United States.

However, another low pressure area could form over the western Caribbean by the middle of next week, the NHC said. Environmental conditions are expected to “favor additional development” and it could develop into a tropical depression as it enters the Gulf of Mexico by mid- to late next week, the NHC said Saturday. This system, if it strengthens to a certain storm level, would likely be named Tropical Storm Kirk. There is a 40% chance of it developing in the next seven days, the center said.

If a storm develops, it is expected to occur west of Helene’s path, AccuWeather senior director of forecasting operations Dan DePodwin said in a forecast. “However, at this early stage, it is too early to rule out any possibilities regarding future development of a potential tropical storm,” DePodwin said.

The center said another tropical depression could form in the eastern and central tropical Atlantic next week. Currently west of the Cape Verde Islands, the system is expected to move west and northwest across the Atlantic. The center predicted a 60% chance of education over the next seven days.

Contributor: Gabe Hauari, Cheryl McCloud, Doyle Rice, Anthony Robledo and Jennifer Sangalang.

Follow Mike Snider on X and Threads: @mikesnider & Mikegsnider.

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See projected path, spaghetti models

ByJasper

A weakened Helene continues to bring rain to the Southeast, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring two more storms in the Atlantic and the formation of a new system in the Caribbean.

Tracking the path of Tropical Storm Joyce

Tropical Storm Joyce Spaghetti Models

NHC is also tracking Hurricane Isaac and a system in the Caribbean

By Jasper

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