Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals picks and predictions

The Philadelphia Phillies (94-65) visit the Washington Nationals (69-90) Friday to open a 3-game series. First pitch from Nationals Park is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s 24/7 MLB odds Phillies vs. Nationals Opportunities and meet our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 8-2

Philadelphia defeated the Chicago Cubs 9-6 on Wednesday while also being the home favorite at -213. The Phillies are locked in a tough battle with the LA Dodgers for first place in the NL playoffs, with Philadelphia half a game behind.

Washington lost 7-4 to the Kansas City Royals on Thursday as a +150 home underdog. The Nationals have lost 9 of their last 10 games.

Phillies at Nationals projected starters

LHP Ranger Suárez vs RHP Trevor Williams

Suarez (12-7, 3.15 ERA) is making his 27th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 148 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 6-3 loss at the New York Mets on Saturday
• Career vs. Washington: 7-1, 3.64 ERA (54 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 in 8 appearances (1 start)

Williams (5-1, 2.19 ERA) is making his 13th start. He has a WHIP of 1.04, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 61 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 3-1 game against the Chicago Cubs on Friday
• Career vs. Philadelphia: 2-4, 5.29 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 29 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 11 appearances (9 starts)

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Phillies at Nationals odds

Powered by BetMGM Sportsbook; Visit the USA TODAY sports scores and sports betting hub for a complete list of MLB odds. The lines were last updated on Thursday at 11:08 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Phillies -185 (Bet $185 to win $100) | Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
• Run Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-110) | Nationals +1.5 (-110)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -125)

Tips and predictions for the Phillies at the Nationals

forecast

Phillies 5, Nationals 2

Money line

HAPPEN.

The Phillies are -185 favorites to win, but as such big favorites they aren’t worth the risk of betting on it.

While I recommend folding here and betting on the spread and/or total instead since I expect the Phillies to win by such a large margin, it’s fine if you choose to place the units between this bet and the spread.

Running Line/Against the Spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (-110).

Philadelphia has dominated Washington, winning 8 of 10 meetings and only allowing the Nationals to come within one run in 2 of those 8 wins.

The Nationals are also just 1-9 in their last 10 overall and have trailed by just one run less than their opponent in 3 of those 9 losses.

Over/Under

LEAN BELOW 8.5 (-125).

The Under has scored in 5 of Washington’s last 6 games and is 2-1 in their last 3 home games. The Under has also scored in each of the last three meetings between Philadelphia and Washington in the nation’s capital.

This is a close result as the over is 5-3-2 in Philly’s last 10 games overall.

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