Odds, tips and predictions for the Baltimore Orioles at the Minnesota Twins

The Baltimore Orioles (88-71) and Minnesota Twins (82-77) begin a 3-game series on Friday. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s 24/7 MLB odds Orioles vs Twins odds and meet our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 3-0

The Orioles were defeated 10-1 in their series finale against the New York Yankees on Thursday night. RHP Corbin Burnes struck out 9 over 5 innings, but the bullpen allowed 7 ER over the next 2 innings. The Orioles need 1 win or 1 loss from the Detroit Tigers to clinch the top AL Wild Card spot.

The Twins lost 8-6 in 13 innings to the Miami Marlins on Thursday. A pinch-hit 2-run double by Brooks Lee in the 8th inning they forced extra innings. SS Carlos Correa went 3 of 5 with a solo HR. Minnesota is three games back in the race for the final AL Wild Card spot.

Orioles at Twins projected starters

LHP Cade Povich vs RHP Pablo Lopez

Povich (2-9, 5.59 ERA) is making his 16th career start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 74 IP.

• Last start: No decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 7 K in Saturday’s 6-4 home loss to the Detroit Tigers
• 2024 road split: 0-5, 9.75 ERA (24 IP, 26 ER), 1.88 WHIP, 7.5 KM/9 in 9 starts
• For the first time against twins

Lopez (15-9, 4.11 ERA) is making his 32nd start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 179 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 7 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 3 K in an 8-1 loss at the Boston Red Sox on Sunday
• 2024 home division: 7-4, 3.64 ERA (81 2/3 IP, 39 R (33 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 14 starts
• Last start against Orioles: No decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 4-2 road loss on April 17th
• Career vs. Orioles: 3-0, 1.06 ERA (17 IP, 2 ER), 7 H, 3 BB, 20.000 in 3 starts

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Orioles at Twins odds

Powered by BetMGM Sportsbook; Visit the USA TODAY sports scores and sports betting hub for a complete list of MLB odds. Lines were last updated at 1:06 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Orioles +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Gemini -175 (Bet $175 to win $100)
• Run Line (RL/Against the Spread (ATS): Oriole +1.5 (-145) | Gemini -1.5 (+120)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Orioles at Twins picks and predictions

forecast

Twins 6, Orioles 3

Money line

HAPPEN.

I’m rooting for the Twins (-175) to win this game, but I’m not spending all the juice, I’ll be watching the run line.

Running Line/Against the Spread

BET TWINS -1.5 (+120).

The Orioles are just one win (or a Detroit Tigers loss) away from clinching the top AL Wild Card spot, but the Twins are in a vital situation – if they lose, they’re finished.

This is exactly why Minnesota traded for Lopez. He has consistently been productive when it matters most, posting a 4-1 record in his last six starts and allowing just two ERs per outing.

Meanwhile, Povich, the Orioles’ starter, was a mess on the road. He has a 1-4 record in his last 7 starts and has a brutal 10 ERA on the road. He hasn’t won a road game all season (0-5), and with everything on the line for the Twins, they should Covering the gap with Lopez on the mound.

Over/Under

HAPPEN.

I don’t like this number and I don’t have a good feeling about it. When it comes to O/U, the trends are 50/50. I’ll just avoid it and hold my bet until the moneyline.

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