Odds, tips and predictions for the game Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins

The Miami Marlins (58-100) and the Minnesota Twins (82-76) finish a 3-game interleague series at Target Field on Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s check out BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Marlins vs. Twins Opportunities and place your best bets with our expert MLB tips and predictions.

Season series: 1:1 draw

The Marlins suffered their 100th loss of the season on Wednesday, 8-3, when the over (8.5) conceded. Miami is just 4-11 in its last 15 games since Sept. 9, while going 2-7 in its previous 9 road games. The under is also 5-1-1 in its last 7 road games.

With the 8-3 win, the Twins ended a 3-game losing streak. Minnesota still has a chance of a postseason spot, is 2 games away from a wild card spot and is only half a game ahead of the Seattle Mariners with 4 games left.

Miami has a 15-27 record in 42 interleague games this season, while Minnesota has a 18-27 record in 45 games against the NL.

Expected starters for the Marlins and the Twins

RHP Valente Bellozo against RHP David Festa

Bellozo (3-4, 3.82 ERA) is making his 13th career start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 63 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 3 K in the 4-3 home win against Atlanta Braves on Friday
• Career/Away Splits 2024: 1-2, 3.41 ERA, 37 IP, 14 ER, 34 H, 8 HR, 9 BB, 25 K, .238 opposing batting average (OBA), 1.16 WHIP in 7 starts
• Last 7 games: 1-3, 5.00 ERA, 36 IP, 20 ER, 43 H, 14 BB, 19 K, 1.58 WHIP
• Has never played against Twins

Festa (2-6, 4.80 ERA) is making his 13th career start and 14th appearance. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 60 IP.

• Last start: No decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in the 4-2 away win in 12 innings against the Boston Red Sox on Friday
• 2024 Home Splits: 0-4, 6.00 ERA, 30 IP, 20 ER, 7 HR, 14 BB, 36 K, .241 OBA, 1.40 WHIP in 6 starts (7 appearances)
• Has never played against Marlins

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Marlins vs Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; visit the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Hub for a complete list of MLB odds. Odds last updated at 6:51 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Marlins +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Twins -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
• Running Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (+100) | Twins -1.5 (-120)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Tips and predictions for the Marlins at the Twins

forecast

Marlins 5, Twins 4

Money line

The MARLINS (+200) are a strong road winner in this interleague series finale. Yes, Miami has 100 losses this season. However, rookie Bellozo has pitched pretty well and has a slight edge over rookie Festa.

Festa has been beaten at home this season, going 0-4 with a 6.00 ERA in 6 starts and 1 relief appearance. The battle for rookie pitchers should go in the visitors’ favor.

Running Line/Against the Spread

If you are a little less adventurous, MARLINS +1.5 (+100) is still a worthwhile play. No one could blame you for wanting to play it safe when beating a 100-loss team rather than playing a clear underdog. Just don’t play both.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-120) is the slim one, but go with a Half-unit game at most in this battle of the rookie pitchers.

The over is 3-1 in Minnesota’s last 4 games and 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games. The total has risen to 6-1-1 in their last 8 home games.

For the Marlins, the Over has a slight edge of 4-3-1 in their last 8 games. But be careful, because with Bellozo, the Under has hit in 4 consecutive starts.

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