(Future) Furacão Helene, when she experienced a disturbance by the Alguma organization during the second week of her stay in Caraíbas, what I like most is Nomeada hoje, ou, mais tardar, amanhã, pelo NHC
There is a situation that lies before us American meteorologists are on alert and have decided to deal with this problem today! In conclusion, the content of the energy stock in the Gulf of Mexico was conveniently recorded for the time and the voyage was not able to directly approach the extreme limits of Florida
Come on, come back, remember, for as long as possible Previous studies of different models – without much difference between them – or that they show a large agreement
QUAL A INTENSIDADE PREVISTA DO FURACÃO HELENE? E QUANDO CHEGA?
It is not possible for a specific tropical cyclone intensity to exist, but it is not a rapidly developing cyclone on the Gulf of Mexico, because the intensity can only be achieved by interacting with the Earth (this must only happen in the second pass)
O The energy content available over the sea is very high in the region because the cyclone has just passed, especially with a tension of 25 days, and this means that it can be quickly forcedand it is very likely that it is a “big” fear Category 3, maximum
No, Fortunately, we do not need to know them yet – more than two models before they are intensified, but they have prior knowledge of 3 main models for preliminary investigations – HWRF, HAFS-A, and HMON, between 910 and 920 MB, approximately sensitive one Terra – Press atmospheric compatibility with a category 4 air conditioning system “fixed”, possibly 5, unlimited
In a situation where I was extremely busy, there was a hurricane that was almost about to be intensified, as in another case, because I always tended to create a large, violent storm, but it came to earth with maximum force
About Furacão Walk until the end of the day until day 26 (Quintafeira) or until day 27 (Quintafeira).
Three more images followed a preview of the intensity, followed by the recommended models – only a few of them for the final scenario, which was certainly very complicated
I think the last preview was a completely different route, namely a landing at the “Big Bend” in Florida, in central Florida, around Cedar Key
Give in if possible, A trajetória could prove the moment – about 10% of the previews
All right then, A core piece has not yet been created, but it is important that changes can be made definitively
We use ensembles to perceive them
So, All residents have the opportunity to land in two places, and are only a few kilometers from the coast. They must be on alert and will be accompanied as before
WHAT ARE THE EFFECTS YOU WILL GET?
Unfortunately Expected effects could have catastrophic consequences…
This cannot be done with certainty, but I have not finished with the safety yet, but the cyclone is not ready yet, and I can only test it in advance, but I do not know, but it is certain that the cyclone has the greatest impact on our EUA ano
Falamos from Maximum speed of 200 km/has well as Up to 20 meters away, possibly
Also a The sea of the storm can be of great importance and cause major flooding on the coasts
The rapid movement of the cyclone reduces the risk of extreme rainfall – It is not a tropical cyclone, but Portanto and Chuva Forte There will always be a risk (excess practical guarantee)
The meteorological models classified as “aggressive” are more current Numerous evacuations are necessary to prevent a disaster
We see, for example, after a preview of the ICON model, when it boasted a top speed of 200 km/h
Corn furacaes possíveis em breve?
Our models have become “excitados” There is a possibility of more tropical cyclones in the coming weeks
Particularly A tropical day in Africa must take place in the next few days – and it must be accompanied because it can escape from Portuguese territory a day or two later, about 10 days later (which should not necessarily be the case…)
I will take Helene’s next trip and bring her to Florida 10 days ago – The GFS model has been FANTASTIC in its tropical projects since this year and there is the possibility of implementing it in various ways
That’s it Recently, when we were just about to meet expectations, we find ourselves close to 10 days before the end of the media and there are still 2 months to go before we finish – there is no guarantee that we could not have a final “explosion” because we lost the heat Oceanos – Apesar de, até aqui, estar abaixo do esperado
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